Spoiler: our favorite division bets are Patriots under 8.5 wins and Dolphins alt under 8 wins. Tua Tagovailoa has upside if a 49ers-esque short-pass/quick-slant/RPO and YAC-oriented offense is successfully implemented, leveraging the immense speed of their enhanced WR corps - but a lot can also go wrong and market expectations are already elevated, making the bar for success from a betting perspective unduly high. The Patriots loss talent and simply got worse across almost every category imaginable, yet market expectations haven't adjusted enough to the downside - likely due to the mystique of Bill Belichick (which has certainly been earned). The Jets will likely remain the dumpster divers of the division, but should show improvement with a young, speedy, and talented set of pass catchers and a steadily strengthening defense. The Bills remain the cream of the crop, may have been the best team last year, and only got better in the offseason (ex the loss of OC Brian Daboll). It's Super Bowl or bust for this mighty offense.
Hear about this and more from betting strategists @deepvaluebettor, and @throwthedamball on the 2022 NFL betting market outlook for the AFC East.
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